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How Biden’s Approval Rating in Minnesota Has Changed Since Taking Office

imageForEntry60 J2ISince announcing in April 2023 plans to run for a second term, President Joe Biden has been the presumptive Democratic candidate in the 2024 race for the White House. How he fares on Election Day will largely hinge on Americans’ assessment of his job performance during his first four years in office, and so far, public opinion has not been moving in Biden’s favor.

According to survey and data services company Morning Consult, Biden had the approval of a majority of American voters throughout the first eight months of his presidency. However, in the last two years, Biden’s approval rating has been underwater, with a larger share of Americans disapproving of the job he is doing.

The shift in public opinion toward the Biden administration began immediately following the August 2021 withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan. Though the decision to end the U.S. military presence in the country was a popular one, the administration’s execution was widely criticized, as it ultimately resulted in a refugee crisis and the re-ascension of the Taliban. Perceptions of Biden’s job performance have not fully recovered, and since taking office, Biden’s approval rating has fallen in each of the 50 states.

In Minnesota, Biden’s approval rating stood at 43% in the first quarter of 2023, down from 54% when he first took office in the first quarter of 2021. The 11 percentage point decline was the 22nd smallest among states.

In the 2020 presidential election, Biden won Minnesota with 52.4% of the popular vote, according to The Cook Political Report, an independent, nonpartisan, political analysis newsletter.

All data in this story is from Morning Consult, a public opinion data research company. States were ranked by percentage the point change in the share of registered voters who approve of Biden’s job as president from the beginning of his term in the first quarter of 2021 to the first quarter of 2023, the most recent available data.

State 2-yr. PP. change in approval Q1 2023 approval (%) Q1 2021 pproval (%) 2020 election winner Biden share of vote in 2020 (%)
Alabama -9 31 40 Trump 36.6
Alaska -4 43 47 Trump 42.8
Arizona -11 40 51 Biden 49.4
Arkansas -11 29 40 Trump 34.8
California -10 54 64 Biden 63.5
Colorado -14 43 57 Biden 55.4
Connecticut -11 49 60 Biden 59.3
Delaware -16 46 62 Biden 58.7
Florida -12 39 51 Trump 47.9
Georgia -10 43 53 Biden 49.5
Hawaii -7 53 60 Biden 63.7
Idaho -6 33 39 Trump 33.1
Illinois -9 49 58 Biden 57.5
Indiana -9 34 43 Trump 41.0
Iowa -15 33 48 Trump 44.9
Kansas -11 35 46 Trump 41.6
Kentucky -9 31 40 Trump 36.2
Louisiana -10 37 47 Trump 39.9
Maine -13 40 53 Biden 53.1
Maryland -14 52 66 Biden 65.4
Massachusetts -15 50 65 Biden 65.6
Michigan -11 41 52 Biden 50.6
Minnesota -11 43 54 Biden 52.4
Mississippi -11 35 46 Trump 41.1
Missouri -11 34 45 Trump 41.4
Montana -4 38 42 Trump 40.5
Nebraska -9 31 40 Trump 39.4
Nevada -11 41 52 Biden 50.1
New Hampshire -10 42 52 Biden 52.7
New Jersey -14 45 59 Biden 57.3
New Mexico -14 44 58 Biden 54.3
New York -12 50 62 Biden 60.9
North Carolina -11 39 50 Trump 48.6
North Dakota -15 25 40 Trump 31.8
Ohio -11 37 48 Trump 45.2
Oklahoma -6 30 36 Trump 32.3
Oregon -11 46 57 Biden 56.5
Pennsylvania -11 41 52 Biden 50.0
Rhode Island -10 48 58 Biden 59.4
South Carolina -9 37 46 Trump 43.4
South Dakota -6 33 39 Trump 35.6
Tennessee -8 34 42 Trump 37.5
Texas -11 38 49 Trump 46.5
Utah -13 32 45 Trump 37.6
Vermont -15 51 66 Biden 66.1
Virginia -12 44 56 Biden 54.1
Washington -11 49 60 Biden 58.0
West Virginia -8 25 33 Trump 29.7
Wisconsin -9 42 51 Biden 49.4
Wyoming -3 27 30 Trump 26.6
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